秦岭—淮河南北供暖格局变化及其影响因素     

李双双  延军平  武亚群  汪成博 《地理学报》2019,74(9):1866-1877

基于秦岭—淮河南北及其周边196个气象站点观测资料,构建实际和动态供暖指数,对中国南北过渡带供暖格局变化进行分析,并探讨冬季北极涛动（AO）异常与供暖效率的响应关系。结果表明：① 固定供暖策略下,1960-2016年秦岭—淮河南北实际供暖能耗偏高,呈现“南多北少,西低东高”的变化特征,且低纬度地区供暖需求下降信号早于高纬度;② 对比区域变暖前后,秦岭—淮河南北冬季供暖能耗1960-1990年和1990-2016年两阶段空间特征,发现“整体南高北低,北部东高西低”的格局并未发生变化,供暖南北波动界线依然维持在秦岭山脉—淮河平原中部;③ AO强弱波动与区域冬季供暖能耗具有明显的时空响应关系,是影响中国南北过渡带供暖格局变化的重要因素。当AO负相位时,除四川盆地和巫山山区之外,秦岭—淮河南北其他区域实际供暖能耗明显下降,特别是淮河平原和长江下游的过渡地带响应尤为明显,未来应该有针对性制定气候适应对策。  相似文献   

泛北极地区多年冻土活动层厚度演变   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

蔡红艳  韩冬锐  杨林生  陈慕琳  杨小唤 《遥感学报》2020,24(8):1045-1059

深入理解泛北极地区多年冻土活动层厚度的演变, 对于全球碳通量模拟、气候变化预测及泛北极地区冻融风险评估具有重要意义。目前开展的泛北极地区多年冻土活动层厚度模拟与分析, 大多无法全覆盖或空间分辨率过低(25 km或是更大), 在景观尺度(公里级)上的多年冻土活动层厚度变化特征仍有待解析, 尤其是关键基础设施区的活动层厚度变化仍不清楚。本研究基于站点监测数据、MOD11B3地表温度数据、MCD12C1土地覆盖数据, 采用Stefan模型, 在公里级空间分辨率上模拟泛北极地区2001年—2017年多年冻土活动层厚度, 并解析泛北极地区及主要油气区多年冻土活动层厚度时空变化格局及主要原因。研究发现: 2001年—2017年泛北极地区约有78.4%的冻土区域多年冻土活动层厚度呈现增长趋势, 尽管全区多年平均的增长速率为0.22 cm/a (p<0.05), 但具有较强的时空差异性。显著增长区主要集中在加拿大西北部的落基山脉及劳伦琴高原一带以及俄罗斯中西伯利亚高原中部地区, 增加速率主要在0.5—1 cm/a；而减少区主要分布在加拿大的哈得孙湾沿岸平原、拉布拉多高原一带, 俄罗斯的东西伯利亚山地北部、中西伯利亚高原的北部、贝加尔湖以东区域和泰拉尔半岛一带。泛北极地区主要油气区多年冻土活动层厚度也以增加为主, 80%以上的油气区呈现增加趋势, 增长速率在0.1—0.7 cm/a。泛北极地区多年冻土活动层厚度变化与气温变化在空间上具有较好的一致性；积雪厚度与活动层厚度关系复杂；不同植被类型的多年冻土活动层厚度有所差异(林地>草地>稀树草原>灌丛), 且多年冻土活动层厚度变化与植被转化方向一致。该成果将有助于深入理解北半球高纬度多年冻土区冻融格局, 尤其可为冻土区的油气设施冻融风险识别与防控提供参考。  相似文献   

Monitoring and modelling of hydrological processes in the semiarid region of Brazil: The Cariri experimental basins     

Vajapeyam S. Srinivasan  Hugo M. de Alcântara  Carlos de O. Galvão  Ulisses A. Bezerra  John E. de Brito Leite Cunha 《水文研究》2021,35(5):e14194

Catchments have highly variable yields of runoff and soil erosion. The size, land use and the surface cover play a significant role and influence the catchment response and parameter values of simulation models. Two experimental basins—the Cariri basins—were equipped in a semi-arid region of Brazil, for obtaining runoff and sediment yield at different catchment scales, as well as, to evaluate the influence of the land use and surface cover. In the first basin, located in the municipality of Sumé, the field studies were carried out at two different scales: four micro-catchments with an area of around 0.5 ha and nine standard Wischmeier-type erosion plots of 100 m². The experimental units had varied vegetation and management. They were subjected only to natural rainfall events, and were monitored from 1982 to 1991. The total runoff and total sediment yield were determined for each of the events. The installations in the second basin, in the municipality of São João do Cariri, from 1999, include two erosion plots, three micro-catchments, and two sub-catchments of a small basin. These basins are still being monitored for runoff and sediment production. Among the micro-catchments two are nested to detect any scale effect at the micro-catchment level. Nearly 600 events of precipitation, that produced runoff in at least one of the experimental units, have been registered. These data have been used to evaluate the influence of various factors, including cultivation practices and to calibrate hydrological models for plots and micro-catchments. Parameters have been tested by means of cross validations among micro-catchments and sub-catchments. The data sets are made available to all the catchment hydrology researchers and others at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4690886 .  相似文献   

Understanding the hydrological system dynamics of a glaciated alpine catchment in the Himalayan region using the J2000 hydrological model          下载免费PDF全文

S. Nepal  P. Krause  W.‐A. Flügel  M. Fink  C. Fischer 《水文研究》2014,28(3):1329-1344

This paper provides the results of hydrological modelling in a mesoscale glaciated alpine catchment of the Himalayan region. In the context of global climate change, the hydrological regime of an alpine mountain is likely to be affected, which might produce serious implications for downstream water availability. The main objective of this study was to understand the hydrological system dynamics of a glaciated catchment, the Dudh Kosi River basin, in Nepal, using the J2000 hydrological model and thereby understand how the rise in air temperature will affect the hydrological processes. The model is able to reproduce the overall hydrological dynamics quite well with an efficiency result of Nash–Sutcliffe (0.85), logarithm Nash–Sutcliffe (0.93) and coefficient of determination (0.85) for the study period. The average contribution from glacier areas to total streamflow is estimated to be 17%, and snowmelt (other than from glacier areas) accounts for another 17%. This indicates the significance of the snow and glacier runoff in the Himalayan region. The hypothetical rise in temperature scenarios at a rate of +2 and +4 °C indicated that the snowmelt process might be largely affected. An increase in snowmelt volume is noted during the premonsoon period, whereas the contribution during the monsoon season is significantly decreased. This occurs mainly because the rise in temperature will shift the snowline up to areas of higher altitude and thereby reduce the snow storage capacity of the basin. This indicates that the region is particularly vulnerable to global climate change and the associated risk of decreasing water availability to downstream areas. Under the assumed warming scenarios, it is likely that in the future, the river might shift from a ‘melt‐dominated river’ to a ‘rain‐dominated river’. The J2000 model should be considered a promising tool to better understand the hydrological dynamics in alpine mountain catchments of the Himalayan region. This understanding will be quite useful for further analysis of ‘what‐if scenarios’ in the context of global climate and land‐use changes and ultimately for sustainable Integrated Water Resources Management in the Himalayan region. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A first Holocene leaf wax isotope-based paleoclimate record from the semi-humid to semi-arid south-eastern Caucasian lowlands     

Marcel Bliedtner  Roland Zech  Jana Zech  Imke Schäfer  Hans von Suchodoletz 《第四纪科学杂志》2020,35(5):625-633

The Holocene paleoclimate of the Caucasus region is rather complex and not yet well understood: while existing studies are mainly based on pollen records from high-altitude and humid lowland regions, no records are available from the semi-humid to semi-arid south-eastern Caucasian lowlands. Therefore, this study investigated compound-specific δ²H and δ¹³C isotopes of leaf wax biomarkers from Holocene floodplain soils in eastern Georgia. Our results show that the leaf wax δ²H signal from the paleosols mostly reflects changes in the moisture source and its isotopic composition. Depleted δ²H values before ~8 cal ka bp change towards enriched values after ~5 cal ka bp and become again depleted after ~1.6 cal ka bp. This trend could be caused by Holocene changes of the isotopic compositions of the Black and eastern Mediterranean Sea, and/or by varying contribution of both moisture sources linked with the North Atlantic Oscillation. The leaf wax δ¹³C signal from the paleosols directly indicates varying local water availability and drought stress. Depleted δ¹³C values before ~8 and after ~5 cal ka bp indicate wetter local conditions with higher water availability, whereas more enriched values during the middle Holocene (~8 until at least 5 cal ka bp ) indicate drier conditions with increased drought stress.  相似文献   

盈江县超上地区橄榄辉石岩脉地球化学特征、岩石成因及其构造环境     

赵宇新  方乙 《四川地质学报》2020,40(1):158-164

盈江县超上地区橄榄辉石岩脉的全岩地球化学特征表明:岩脉具有高Al、低Ti、贫P2O5和低碱的特点,属于低钾拉斑系列。另外具有与橄榄岩平衡的原生岩浆相一致的Mg#值为(70.89~72.18)、略微的Eu正异常(δEu=1.16~1.40),轻稀土元素富集,重稀土元素相对平缓;微量元素蛛网图上岩脉富集大离子亲石元素U、Th、Pb等,强烈亏损高场强元素Nb、Ta、Hf、P、Ti等。通过综合分析,认为岩脉岩浆源区为被俯冲板片流体改造过的亏损地幔,由其形成的母岩浆在演化过程中遭受了不同程度的下地壳物质的同化混染作用和有限的结晶分异作用,并可能经历了辉石的堆晶作用。结合区域资料,认为盈江县超上橄榄辉石岩脉形成于岛弧环境,超上地区可能在侏罗纪时期经历了中特提斯洋的俯冲消减。  相似文献   

基于"一带一路"建设的环渤海地区港口优势评价          下载免费PDF全文

赵江南  周跃 《海洋开发与管理》2019,36(7):83-88

港口作为海陆运输的节点,是一个城市和国家的重要门户,对推动经济发展和对外贸易有着不可忽视的作用。基于国家提出的"一带一路"建设,评估环渤海港口的发展优势,逐步实现从沿海、沿江开放向内陆延伸具有重要意义。文章选取环渤海港口中的大连、天津、唐山、丹东、营口、锦州、秦皇岛、黄骅、日照、青岛、威海和烟台共12个港口进行发展优势对比。从港口吞吐量、港口规模范围、港口城市及腹地、港口未来发展4个方面构建环渤海港口优势评价体系。并利用熵权-TOPSIS法进行深入的实证分析。结果表明,环渤海港口群港口发展优势水平悬殊,基本可以分为4个档次。基于此,环渤海各港口应合理准确定位,通过错位发展和协同合作等方式谋求共赢。  相似文献   

环渤海区域及邻区现今地壳构造运动形变特征分析     

赵旭坤  张俊  雷前坤  范成成 《大地测量与地球动力学》2019,39(11):1101-1105

将环渤海区域划分为5个次级块体，利用整体旋转与线性应变模型分析2009~2014年中国大陆构造环境监测网络的GPS对地观测速度场数据，得到相对于欧亚板块0.5°×0.5°的水平运动速度场和应变场。分析形变速度场和应变场的空间变化发现，环渤海区域整体上呈现0.25×10^-9/a的NW-SE 111.3°的双向趋势性扩张运动，太行块体、山西块体分别呈NW-SE 116.3°、NW-SE 130°的微弱扩张运动，胶辽块体、冀鲁块体和阴山-燕山块体分别存在NW-SE 144.3°、NE-SW 39.5°和NW-SE 155.6°的微弱压缩运动，其中太行块体的扩张运动量级相对于其他次级块体较大。尽管环渤海区域内部各次级块体的形变在空间上存在以上差异，但整体上环渤海区域主压应变轴方向基本为NEE-SWW，主张应变轴方向为NNW-SSE，且主压应变轴走向为NE 47.70°～89.74°，与利用地球物理方法得到的主压应变轴优势方向大体一致，表明环渤海区域现今地壳运动相对稳定。  相似文献   

Watershed delineation using hydrographic features and a DEM in plain river network region          下载免费PDF全文

Zhengqing Lai  Shuo Li  Guonian Lv  Zhirong Pan  Guosong Fei 《水文研究》2016,30(2):276-288

Watershed delineation is a required step when conducting any spatially distributed hydrological modelling. Automated approaches are often proposed to delineate a watershed based on a river network extracted from the digital elevation model (DEM) using the deterministic eight‐neighbour (D8) method. However, a realistic river network cannot be derived from conventional DEM processing methods for a large flat area with a complex network of rivers, lakes, reservoirs, and polders, referred to as a plain river network region (PRNR). In this study, a new approach, which uses both hydrographic features and DEM, has been developed to address the problems of watershed delineation in PRNR. It extracts the river nodes and determines the flow directions of the river network based on a vector‐based hydrographic feature data model. The river network, lakes, reservoirs, and polders are then used to modify the flow directions of grid cells determined by D8 approach. The watershed is eventually delineated into four types of catchments including lakes, reservoirs, polders, and overland catchments based on the flow direction matrix and the location of river nodes. Multiple flow directions of grid cells are represented using a multi‐direction encoding method, and multiple outflows of catchments are also reflected in the topology of catchments. The proposed approach is applied to the western Taihu watershed in China. Comparisons between the results obtained from the D8 approach, the ‘stream burning’ approach, and those from the proposed approach clearly demonstrate an improvement of the new approach over the conventional approaches. This approach will benefit the development of distributed hydrological models in PRNR for the consideration of different types and multiple inlets and outlets of catchments. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

A late Quaternary vertebrate deposit in Kudjal Yolgah Cave,south‐western Australia: refining regional late Pleistocene extinctions          下载免费PDF全文

Nathan R. Jankowski  Grant A. Gully  Zenobia Jacobs  Richard G. Roberts  Gavin J. Prideaux 《第四纪科学杂志》2016,31(5):538-550

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